Syntactic Models
Hypothetico-Deductive Account
A theory is confirmed if observation statements deduced from it are
found to be true. (Consequence Condition) If a theory is confirmed,
its consequences are also confirmed. (Converse Consequence
Condition)
Problems
Conjunction Problem
(A and B) implies, and is thus confirmed by, A. It also implies B,
so B is confirmed by the observation of A, whatever A and B are.
Disjunction Problem
B implies (A or B). (A or B) is verified by the observation of A.
So B is confirmed by the observation of A, whatever A and B are.
For statements of the form "All A are B" observations fall into
three categories. Observations of As that are Bs confirm,
observations of As that are not Bs disconfirm, and observations of
things that are not As are irrelevant.
Problems
The main problem is the Raven Paradox.
Popperian Refutationism
Popper's theories can be seen as an attempt to provide a syntactic
description of induction.
Copyright David Chart 1997